California Politics

By pjain      Published July 9, 2021, 4:28 a.m. in blog Geo-Politics   

CA Politics Core Issues

Flight of Californians to Texas - Toyota, Tesla

Oil Taxes 51c/gallon - highest prices in Nation

Unaffordable Housing

Homeless - S*** in the Streets of SFO

Water Mismanagement

CA Politics Demographics and Electoral Factors

Democrats Grip on CA

Republicans in Decline in CA

Regan 1980s - North-South divide.

Even in Schwarzenegger's time, the party was beset with internal strife between its conservative rank-and-file and state leaders who believed the path forward was to soften views on social issues and appeal to an ever more diverse California electorate.

Republicans come to California for fund raising, but don't stay long as it is a foregone conclusion CA will go for Democrats. Democrats have unprecedented control over California government,

No Republican has won a governor's race since Arnold Schwarzenegger's re-election 15 years ago.

California has shifted dramatically since 2003 when Republican Arnie overthrew Davis on a recall vote.

  1. Republicans are no longer the second largest party in the state. They are now third following Democrats and No Party Preference. The party’s withering voter rolls — now down to 24 percent — have revealed consistent problems over the years. If only 24% declare themselves Republican for primaries, how can they ever win?

  2. [California Republicans feud over party direction ahead of high-stakes recall](https://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2021/07/06/california-republicans-feud-over-party-direction-ahead-of-high-stakes-recall-1387877}

Newsom Gov Jan 2019-2022

Recall Newsom vote set for Sep 14, 2021

Newsom began his political career in 1996 when San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown appointed him to serve on the city's Parking and Traffic Commission. Brown appointed Newsom to fill a vacancy on the Board of Supervisors the following year, and Newsom was later elected to the board in 1998, 2000, and 2002. By 2003 elected as SFO mayor at 36, again in 2007 with 72% of the vote. So he really has been responsible for homelessness situation in the city for nearly two decades! 2010 elected Lt Gov, reelected in 2014, finally gov in 2018.

More than 1.6 million Californians signed the recall petition - well over the 1.495 million verified signatures needed to trigger a recall election - but it's still not official yet as the votes have to be validated.

A May poll by the Public Policy Institute of California of 1,705 likely voters found 57% opposed the recall of Gov. Newsom and 40% support it. The rest were undecided. However a January 2021 survey from the Public Policy Institute of California showed Newsom's approval rating still at more than 50% support.

The only other recall in CA was the first in 2003 with Gov. Gray Davis, who was successfully recalled and removed from office and resulting in Arnie in office. For Davis, the issue was the electricity crisis and frustration over rolling blackouts. Davis had an approval rating in low 20s% but hated widely with a disapproval rating of 60% during his recall election.

Newsom's recall seems by all public evidence to be an organized by and Republican-dominated: Most of the major donors are Republicans, all of the notable endorsers are Republican, and a few of the grievances in the petition itself are issues usually cited by the right — hostility toward immigration and favoring the death penalty, in particular.

Issues for Recall of Slick Newsom

The quoted text is from recal petition.

  1. Undocumented Illegals favored. "Laws he endorsed favor foreign nationals, in our country illegally, over that of our own citizens. He has imposed sanctuary state status and fails to enforce immigration laws."

  2. Heavy Taxation - "People in this state suffer the highest taxes in the nation .. and the lowest quality of life as a result"

  3. CA has the highest homelessness rates.

  4. Law and Order. "He unilaterally over-ruled the will of the people regarding the death penalty."

  5. Property Tax Increasing. He seeks to impose additional burdens on our state by the following; removing the protections of Proposition 13

  6. Water misuse forcing rationing our water use

  7. Criticism of Covid Handling. Some critics say Newsom was too slow to reopen industries after the state crushed the curve in the spring of 2020. On the other side of the spectrum, some say Newsom wasn't strict enough with shutdown measures, which lacked enforcement or consequences for rulebreakers.

    The lightning rod came in November 2020 when it was revealed that Newsom attended a birthday party at the Michelin-starred restaurant French Laundry. The gathering included people from several different households and took place in an enclosed area -- the type of gathering Newsom had been telling Californians to avoid.

  8. Reopening Mismanaged. Newsom is facing the challenges of vaccine distribution, a worsening homelessness crisis, and getting kids back into school as quickly as possible, so they say there’s ample opportunity for his support to drop.

    By April 2021, only 31 percent of Californians agreed that Newsom was doing “an excellent or good job in handling the pandemic overall,” down from 49 percent last September. - Vox

  9. Schools were mismanaged and grumbled Parents trying to get work done WFH or prevented from joining work. Many public schools throughout California that remain closed to in-person learning. One analysis revealed that as of mid-Feb 2021, approximately 80% of California students were enrolled in districts that offered only distance learning. Newsom has tried to have it both ways on school reopening — arguing on the one hand that he's doing all he can and, on the other, trying to accommodate the demands of his biggest political benefactor, the California Teachers Association which is saying NO NO NO.

  10. Major Mismanagement of the state's unemployment insurance program during the pandemic under Newsom. On his watch, the Employment Development Department (EDD), which administers the program, initially suspended requirements to verify both initial and ongoing eligibility for the program. The agency itself admitted that it paid about $11 billion in fraudulent claims between March and December 2020, with another $20 billion in claims that were "potentially" fraudulent. It got so bad that a fraudster (and former EDD employee) pretending to be California Sen. Dianne Feinstein got paid $21,000 in benefits. Worse yet, many who need economic assistance are still waiting. The program faced huge backlogs while EDD tried to clean up its fraud problem at the end of 2020, and there are still more than 1 million claims awaiting processing.

Who is running to replace Newsom?

BTW Newsom is not allowed to run as a replacement candidate.

The list keeps growing of people hoping for a shot at the state's top spot. So far, more than 40 people have filed a "statement of intention" with the Secretary of State's office. For the full list of names who have joined the fray, see the Secretary of State's website. Some prominent candidates include:

  • John Cox, businessman (Republican)
  • Rep. Doug Ose, former California congressman (Republican)
  • Caitlyn Jenner, former Olympic athlete and transgender celebrity activist (Republican)
  • Kevin Faulconer, former San Diego Mayor (Republican)

Newsom rushes to appease citizens

  1. Massive displeasure with Gov. Gavin Newsom on Monday to propose sending cash back to residents as he faces a recall election.

  2. Mealy mouthed. Facing the threat of a recall, he's backed a weak school reopening plan that doesn't even establish clear parameters for how many hours or days a school must offer in-person instruction.

Jerry Brown

Arnold for Gov - huge failure - got nothing done

Even in Schwarzenegger's time, the party was beset with internal strife between its conservative rank-and-file and state leaders who believed the path forward was to soften views on social issues and appeal to an ever more diverse California electorate.

Gray Davis 2000

Enron enabled by Davis

Massive Pensions Underfunding as Davis gets on knees to Teachers Unions

Ronald Reagan Governor to US President

Regan 1980s - North-South divide.


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