Europe Investing Guide

By pjain      Published Dec. 31, 2020, 11:57 p.m. in blog Invest   

Europe, FTSE 100/250 direct investing

Europe Indexes, ETFs and Investing Overview

Europe Indexes, ETFs

  • FTSE 100 - mostly international cos 81% of LSE
  • FTSE 250 - mostly uk
  • FTSE SmallCap index 340
  • FTSE All-Share Index of 640 cos (aggs 100+250+Scap)
  • FTSE Fledgling Index

FTSE index mandates a Pound or Euro listing on LSE, norms for nationality, float and liquidity More free-float weighted factor not just mcap - used as an adjustment multiplier - this deemphasizes mostly closely held companies - more common on EU in smaller/medium caps esp. Germany family held

International Europe Funds

  • 3 funds to look at holdings
    • Fundsmith Equity by Terry Smith exp 1%+ platform fees, 5yr 132% vs FTSE 41%, only dipped -8% in Q1'20 vs -25% ftse - STRICT high quality cos.
      • Consumer globals esp EMs - Unilever, Diageo, PEP, LOreal, Estee Lauder
      • Aging Population/Health/Dia - Coloplast, Stryker, JNJ, Reckitt Benckiser, Novo Nordisk, Becton Dickinson
      • Digital/SaaS - PYPL, MSFT, Sage, Amadeus spanish travel, Intuit
    • Lindsell Train Global Equity 5y 147% Q1'20 -11% Nick Train mgr - 0.5% + platform fees
    • Blue Whale Growth new'2017 by Stephen Yiu fees 0.9% + platform fees

Key factors

Many large cos as ADRs - but often don't want supervision by US SEC

Stamp duty on LSE shares buy sell

Forex trends

Brexit to hurt MNCs - Trade duties - to hurt

Dividends, Buybacks cut sharply

ONLY 14 FTSE 100 firms have managed to raise their annual dividend for each of the last 10 years down from 25 at the beginning of 2020 as Covid slashes payouts. But only 4 of these 14 (Legal&Gen,Sage,DEO,BAT) were even in FTSE 100 - making it a VERY NARROW index to choose from - Dividend payouts for this year have also fallen by almost a third over that period from £91 b to £62 b

Good div payers

  • Diageo
  • British American Tobacco
  • Ashtead total return 10yr was 2590% highest in FTSE100
  • Halma total return 10yr was 932% highest in FTSE100
  • Legal & General insurer
  • Sage
  • Hargreaves Lansdown
  • Intertek Product testing business
  • Pennon Group water utility giant

Financials screwed as City no longer destination for EU banks/financials

Covid-19 - hurts UK as weak manufacturing, heavy consumer, urbanized economy

Irrational politics of racist conservatives who are arrogant and serve elites

UK as tax and legal haven Russia, India, China rich AND crooks find homes- would hurt ties and trade

Consumer Staples, Foods

  • Food & Drug Retailers

    • MRW Morrisons
    • OCDO Ocado
    • SBRY Sainsburys
    • TSCO Tesco
  • Discr Retailers

    • ABF - Associated British Foods recently cut its annual dividend as forced to close all Primark CLOTHING stores with no EC to offset
    • Next plc NXT General Retailers
    • Kingfisher KGF Retailers
  • Personal Goods

  • Unilever ULVR Personal Goods

CCF bottler

Discr, Sin, Entertainment, Travel, Media

  • Burberry BRBY
  • DGE Diageo - paying 10+ years dividend
  • Cineworld deep down - could bankrupt

  • Retail hospitality

    • Whitbread WTB
  • Flutter Entertainment FLTR Travel & Leisure
  • InterContinental Hotels Group IHG Travel & Leisure
  • GVC Holdings GVC Travel and Leisure

  • BATS British American Tobacco- paying 10+ years dividend

  • Imperial Brands IMB Tobacco

  • Media

    • Auto Trader Group AUTO
    • Informa INF
    • ITV plc ITV
    • RELX REL
  • Education, Publishing

    • Pearson plc PSON

Durable Goods

MRO Melrose - auto parts

Health

  • Health Care Equipment & Services - Smith & Nephew SN.

  • Pharmaceuticals

    • AstraZeneca AZN
    • GlaxoSmithKline GSK
    • Hikma Pharmaceuticals HIK

REITs, Real Estate

  • Household Goods / Home Construction

    • Barratt Developments BDEV
    • Berkeley Group Holdings BKG
    • Persimmon plc PSN
    • Reckitt Benckiser RB.
    • Taylor Wimpey TW.
  • Real Estate Investment Trusts

    • British Land BLND
    • Land Securities LAND
    • Segro SGRO
  • Home Builders

    • CRH Construction
  • Shopping mall

    • Intu Properties hurt bad

Materials

  • Polymetal International POLY Precious Metals and

  • Industrial Metals

    • Evraz EVR
    • Mining
  • Rightmove RMV Media
  • WPP plc WPP Media
  • Anglo American plc AAL
  • Antofagasta ANTO
  • BHP BHP
  • Fresnillo FRES
  • Glencore GLEN
  • Rio Tinto RIO

  • CRDA Croda chem

  • JMAT Johnson Matthey chem

Energy

  • x Oil giant Royal Dutch Shell cut its dividend for the first time since 1945 this year
  • BP BP. Oil & Gas Producers
  • Royal Dutch Shell RDSA Oil & Gas Producers

  • Gas distribution to hurt - British Gas owner Centrica drop into the FTSE 250

Utilities, Telecom

  • Regulated Utils

    • NG National Grid
    • SVT Severn Trent
    • UU United Utilities
  • Competitive Utils

  • Water Utilities

    • Pennon Group PNN Water
  • Telecom

    • BT-A British Telecom Group
    • Vodafone Group VOD

Industrials

  • General Industrials

    • DS Smith SMDS General Industrials
    • Smiths Group SMIN General Industrials
    • Smurfit Kappa SKG General Industrials
    • JD Sports JD. General Retailers
  • Industrial equipment / Rentals

    • ?buy Ashtead Group rental business has had the highest total shareholder return in the last decade
  • Defense, Aerospace

    • BA - BAE systems
    • RR - Rolls-Royce
  • Electrical

    • HLMA Halma - electronic, electrical equp

Services, Transports

  • Consumer Services

    • HSV Homeserve
  • Services

    • Ashtead Group AHT Support Services
    • Bunzl BNZL Support Services
    • Compass Group CPG Support Services
    • DCC plc DCC Support Services
    • Experian EXPN Support Services
    • Ferguson plc FERG Support Services
    • Intertek ITRK Support Services
    • Rentokil Initial RTO Support Services
  • Airlines in deep shit!

    • British Airways - business/flag carrier but no growth
    • EasyJet cut discount
    • WIZZ Air discount
  • International Airlines Group IAG Travel & Leisure

  • Engineering, architectural firms

    • Meggitt will drop down to FTSE 250
    • Spirax-Sarco Engineering SPX Industrial Engineering

Finance

BARC barclays HSBA HSBC NWG Natwest group STAN Standard Chartered

  • insurers
    • LLOY lloyds ADR:LYG
  • Admiral Group ADM Nonlife Insurance
  • RSA Insurance Group RSA Nonlife Insurance

  • Life Insurance

  • Standard Life Aberdeen SLA
  • Aviva AV
  • Legal & General LGEN
  • Phoenix Group PHNX
  • Prudential plc PRU
  • St. James's Place plc STJ

MNG - aum

  • PE, Equity investment

  • Mortgage

    • SMT Scottish Mortgage Inv Trust
  • Financial Services 3i III Hargreaves Lansdown HL London Stock Exchange Group LSE Schroders SDR

  • Investment Services, AUM

    • Intermediate Capital Group ICP

Tech

  • Semi Arm - now owned fully by Softbank

  • Software

    • Aveva AVV Software & Computer Services
    • Sage Group SGE Software & Computer Services
    • Avast AVST Software and Computer Services
    • Just Eat Takeaway JET Software and Computer Services

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