USA Covid-19 Analysis
- US Covid Analysis and Lessons
- Policies, Actionables for US as a Fail Case Study
- Flatten the Curve - Lockdown
- Testing - delayed, millions - did not slow down - no isolation/
- Antibodies False Hopes - unreliable - don't stay
- PPE, Ventilators, ICU saturation - managed for lockdowns
- Plasma Serum - seemed to help - but little "news"
- Facemask - Violent opposition in Red states
- Protests/BLM/Police Brutality - Spread Covid-19 a lot
- Contact Tracing - US unable to implement
- Quarantines - US unable to implement due to mixing
- Herd Immunity - not happening - Immunity fragile/short-lived
- Vaccines - False Hopes - too far out
- US Timeline and Policy causes
- US Economic Fallout and CARES cures
Globally more than 11.4 million people have been infected and over half-a-million have died, according to Hopkins data as of mid July 2020.
US Covid Analysis and Lessons
US policy is not science based but lobbyists based
Blame others - instead on focus on - TRUMP
Denial - actions only AFTER spread
Policies, Actionables for US as a Fail Case Study
Flatten the Curve - Lockdown
Breaking the chains of transmission in places like Florida, Texas and Arizona, where outbreaks have surged, is crucial to prevent hospitals from being inundated with patients. - Amesh Adalja, John Hopkins
Testing - delayed, millions - did not slow down - no isolation/
Antibodies False Hopes - unreliable - don't stay
PPE, Ventilators, ICU saturation - managed for lockdowns
Plasma Serum - seemed to help - but little "news"
Facemask - Violent opposition in Red states
“It simply means avoiding sharing items, physically distancing when you’re out in public, wearing a mask — these are fairly straightforward, fairly truthfully simple things to follow that are actually going to prevent more surges and more economic turmoil, to be perfectly frank,” - Barocas, infection expert
Protests/BLM/Police Brutality - Spread Covid-19 a lot
Contact Tracing - US unable to implement
Quarantines - US unable to implement due to mixing
Herd Immunity - not happening - Immunity fragile/short-lived
Herd Immunity is when a population is allowed some exposure to the virus in order to build immunity among the general population.
Early on, Sweden picked this strategy, by NOT mandating lockdowns or even encouraging facemasks - to rapidly propagating the virus amongst the population. - Death rate in Sweden has been MANY TIMES higher than its neighbors that did lockdowns - HUGE deaths of elderly and in nursing homes happened, as lack of isolation - herd immunity basically killed hundreds in crowded, low immune elderly.
It is not a “safe bet” to rely on immunity to Covid-19 as a strategy for coping with the pandemic, one expert has warned, adding that herd immunity strategies were “probably never going to work. .. immunity to this thing looks rather fragile — it looks like some people might have antibodies for a few months and then it might wane, so it’s not looking like a safe bet .. It’s a very deceitful virus and immunity to it is very confusing and rather short-lived” - July 6, 2020, Danny Altmann, professor of immunology at Imperial College London
Vaccines - False Hopes - too far out
- Moderna rose massively and fell back to ground
Multiple vaccines for the disease are being tested, with many of them undergoing clinical trials, meaning they are being tested on human volunteers.
Will take time
It takes time and a lot of steps to develop a vaccine and that “we are not necessarily very close to ‘a magic bullet’ - Barocas, infection expert, Boston U We will be contending with this virus for a long time without a vaccine and I don’t want people to get a false sense of security that a vaccine is just around the corner even though we are making great strides towards one - Amesh Adalja, John Hopkins
Rationing - Effective Vaccines may be VERY short
Even if a vaccine is quickly developed, there will likely not be enough of it to “make a dent” on the virus by the end of the year or by early 2021, - Amesh Adalja, John Hopkins
US Timeline and Policy causes
What happened Timeline
|July10||2.8 m||130,000||27 red states Reopened, several locked down, Texas facemask|
July 2020 status - State Cases Rapid rise on Reopening
- The U.S. reported a record increase in cases, with RAPID spread and spikes seen in states that are well underway in their reopening process.
The surge in places like Florida and Texas should serve as a warning to other states, such as New Jersey or Massachusetts, where the infection spread appears to have slowed for now. - Barocas, infection expert, Boston U Breaking the chains of transmission in places like Florida, Texas and Arizona, where outbreaks have surged, is crucial to prevent hospitals from being inundated with patients. - Amesh Adalja, John Hopkins
The U.S. has the highest number of reported cases and death toll in the world — more than 2.8 million people have been infected and close to 130,000 people have died from Covid-19.